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Paying attention

David Hodes

On his deathbed, Eli Goldratt was asked if he could advise, in the most general terms, where one should be looking for the constraint. After all, if the constraint governs the rate at which we create value, wouldn’t it help to know where it consistently shows up?

[ Listen to audio version, read by David Hodes]

As the inventor of the Theory of Constraints, Goldratt might be expected to know. In his famously iconoclastic way, his answer came roaring back: ‘Management attention.’

It is a truth universally acknowledged that an executive in possession of a production target must be in want of more time. Whenever I interview executives or managers, a consistent complaint is about getting ‘pulled down into the weeds’. They will dwell far too long in today’s minutiae and, in so doing, neglect the important work of realising their vision for the future. Why is this so?

What prevents the management team from functioning at the level of work required to both safeguard today’s results and simultaneously make steady progress toward the glory of the imagined future? Are there deepseated issues common to most organisations?

Levels of work and time horizons

Before proceeding, it’s important to identify precisely what level of management I am writing about. When I talk of managers, I mean those responsible for the work of their function within the organisation for the next one to two years. These people belong to that echelon of the organisation accountable for the continuous improvement of the extant systems of management. Their projects do not change the basic system of management but look to incrementally improve operations using those systems.

The manager’s bosses, the executive, should be attending to a horizon between three and five years out. They will be accountable for transformational change within their function, coordinated with the overall plan of the CEO of the strategic business unit, whose remit extends out to the 5-10 year horizon.

Now that we know who we are thinking about, let’s return to the conundrum: ‘How do I safeguard today’s results while holding true to our grand vision for the future?’ One clue to finding a solution is to ask if everyone on the team has clarity about the content, purpose, outcomes and decision-making rights they have and how these accountabilities should be cascaded down the hierarchy of their subordinates.

‘How do I safeguard today’s results while
holding true to our grand vision for the future?’

It’s one thing to participate in the annual strategy session and nut out with your colleagues your goal and what initiatives you will undertake to achieve it. It’s quite another to fully understand the nature of the work you need to do such that your subordinates and colleagues—and their subordinates—know where accountability begins and ends. How will you coordinate between the functions? How will decisions get made in terms of tradeoffs between one path of action and another? How will these tradeoffs fit in with the organisation’s longterm goal, assuming that this is clear to all—which it often is not.

It takes a substantial effort to change up to a level of thinking capable of taming the complexity of the deeper horizons of the managers’ and executives’ work. Far easier to hide away in the day-to-day grind. After all, it’s familiar territory, and we can be the hero in our own story by resolving the small stuff for today’s satisfaction. Who will notice if I ignore the deeper horizon today, especially if I’m running around telling anyone who’ll listen that I’m putting out a very important fire? Let tomorrow take care of itself. It’s not a trivial exercise to apply the mind to what will happen next month, let alone next year, the one after that and the one after that. ‘She’ll be right,’ may be the culturally accepted response, but you have to ask, ‘Will she?’

The emotional risks of pursuing excellence

So why, then, at a deeper level, do we avoid the work of creating the systems and processes commensurate with the roles we occupy and the horizons they are intended to address? Are we hiding away from ourselves in the midst of the firefight? Do we doubt our own ability to operate at the next level, scared that we’ll be found out? Having the mental smarts is often not enough when they come without the first of the virtues—courage.

When it’s our judgement by which we’ll be judged, who amongst us relishes the idea of sticking our necks out and trying something bold and innovative? Success at designing and implementing a new, better system of management is a risky proposition. Failure could be catastrophic, and then what happens to our ability to pay the mortgage and give the kids the life we wish for them? What happens to our social status when we have to tell our family and friends that we got fired for screwing up?

‘She’ll be right,’ may be the culturally accepted response,
but you have to ask, ‘Will she?’

But it’s not only about our ability to perform. As a manager or executive, we have to rely on the work of those who report to us. Perhaps we don’t have confidence in their ability to satisfactorily do the work of the level we’ve left behind. And it’s true that, on many occasions, the people in our teams are not competent to pick up where we left off—whether in terms of skills or attitude. Being buried so deep in the day to day, did we take the time necessary to develop our team so that they are ready for the new role as we step away? Have we been effective in our capacity to delegate work and taught our team how to do likewise? Do they know how to manage work that crosses the silos?

A devastating consequence of the inability to put in place the structures, processes and managerial leadership practices required to consistently achieve high-performance goals is the mismatch that arises between accountability and authority. To be just at work, you cannot hold a person accountable for the timely completion of quality work if you don’t match that accountability with the authority over the resources required to get it done. Those resources may be human, material, information or financial, and indeed can often be all of them. The higher the management level, the deeper the horizon of the work and the greater the demand on the organisation’s resources—everyone competing for their piece of a limited pie.

All of this brings us back to Goldratt’s famous response as to where the real constraint lies—management attention. Thus, if you are a manager or executive, where should you be placing your attention? Will you advance the cause of your grand vision by constantly returning to the firefight of the day? I’ve heard it so many times before when I ask the question as to why these otherwise intelligent and well-meaning people end up in the weeds? ‘I haven’t got the time’ means they’ve placed their attention on the trivial many at the expense of focusing on the significant few.

When life tells you what’s important

On one assignment, I recall being almost overjoyed when in a workshop setting, one of the managers told his story of how he got himself out of his bind. He was an elder of the group and was very well respected for his expertise in the field. His team somehow always turned up energised, committed and thinking of how to make their contribution count for the benefit of all. The room went silent when he started to tell the story of his heart attack.

He recounted his work habits prior, and they were the kind of frantic ‘be everywhere, do everything’ sort we had been talking about in our dialogue. He told us that when he was recovering in his hospital bed, he thought deeply about his family, the job he loved and the colleagues he considered a second family. He asked himself how he had let the situation get so out of hand that he would barely know which day of the week it was. And then it struck him. His job was not to do the work at the level he was doing it. What he had to do was to design the system of management that would give everyone the chance to bring their best selves to the challenges of growing the business that they all loved deeply.

“You only have sixteen hours of attention in a day.”

He talked about how he resolved that, before he went back to work, he was going to put together a plan that would cover the new design of his part of the organisational accountability hierarchy, what processes would be essential to its design and what a program of education and training could do to lift the skills of his managerial leadership team. Where necessary, he would recruit people to fill skills gaps and say farewell to the troublemakers. He was very clear on what investment would be required to bring his vision into being, but was also equally sure about his commitment to the difference his new organisation could bring to business performance.

When he finished, the mood was sombre but filled with hope. The team leader turned to everyone in the team and said, ‘Now we have hit the bedrock.’ None of us had to say anything more, as we all knew where the attention had to be—not in the daily details of operations, but in the development of the system of management.

You only have sixteen hours of attention in a day. If that’s your life’s currency, which it surely is, be sure you spend it wisely.

____________________________

What’s next?

The change from standard thinking to Theory of Constraints (TOC) is both profound and exhilarating. To make it both fun and memorable, we use a business simulation we call The Right Stuff Workshop.

We’d love to run it with you. To learn more:

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  • Organisation
  • People
  • Process
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  • Technology

An AI Enabled Mining and Metals Operating Model

David Hodes

The Shortest Path From Mineral Potential to the Highest Sustainable Cash Flow

A mining investment earns its return through the conversion of mineral potential into dependable cash flow. Every uncertainty, delay and misplaced commitment along that journey affects how much capital is required, how long it remains exposed and what the investment ultimately delivers.

For those who allocate capital, the challenge extends beyond identifying an attractive resource. The acquisition thesis depends on connected decisions across geology, studies, approvals, construction, commissioning, production and closure. Each decision can strengthen the investment case or quietly erode it.

An AI enabled Mining and Metals Operating System connects evidence, reasoning, accountability and execution across that journey. Systems Thinking provides the whole asset perspective. The Theory of Constraints directs attention towards the factor governing value today. AI helps people interpret information, examine alternatives and coordinate the work required to change the outcome.

“Where is the greatest gap between the value this asset could credibly create and the value it is currently on course to deliver?”

The operating model below brings these ideas together: human accountability above, the life of mine across the centre, and integrated knowledge and reasoning supporting every stage.


AI enabled mining and metals operating model: Requisite Organisation and human accountability across seven life-of-mine stages, supported by integrated knowledge and reasoning.
An integrated operating model across the life of mine, connecting human accountability, technical work and AI supported reasoning. Click the diagram to enlarge.

Requisite Organisation: put accountability where the work sits

An operating system needs a clear management accountability hierarchy. Purpose and levels of work define the decisions people must make, the authority they require and the capability needed to carry their responsibilities.

A supervisor protecting today’s production, a project director preparing commissioning and a board allocating development capital face different levels of complexity and different time horizons. Each needs information appropriate to the work, clear decision rights and a reliable route for escalation.

AI makes this clarity more important. Recommendations must have accountable human owners, particularly where commitments cross the boundaries between investors, asset owners, contractors and service providers.

For investors, this provides a practical test of execution capability: can the organisation show who owns each assumption in the investment thesis, who can authorise action and how unresolved issues reach the right decision maker?

Exploration and Resource Definition: reduce the uncertainty that matters

Exploration creates value when it resolves uncertainty that changes a worthwhile decision. More data becomes useful when it improves confidence about what is present, where it lies and what further work is justified.

AI can help connect geological reports, assay results, drilling records, geophysical observations and three dimensional interpretations. Shared terminology and traceable relationships allow teams to compare evidence, expose inconsistencies and distinguish observations from interpretations.

The investor’s question is which uncertainty governs the next commitment. A targeted investigation may change the development route, support further drilling or reveal that the opportunity cannot yet justify additional capital.

New sensing and interpretation methods must earn confidence through appropriate validation. The objective is a better sequence of learning and commitment, with uncertainty visible throughout.

Studies and Project Definition: shape options before locking in capital

Studies turn a resource opportunity into choices about mine planning, processing routes, infrastructure, scale and development sequence. Those choices establish much of the future cost, risk and operating flexibility of the asset.

An integrated operating system connects technical narratives, economic models, engineering constraints and spatial representations. Teams can examine whether assumptions agree across disciplines and whether the preferred option remains attractive under plausible changes in conditions.

Approvals, water, power, logistics and workforce requirements belong in this comparison from the outset. Internal experience and relevant external benchmarks can challenge optimistic estimates.

For investors, the benefit is a clearer explanation of why an option deserves funding, what could defeat it and which evidence should be obtained before the next irreversible commitment.

“The most valuable early action may be the one that changes the next capital decision.”

Projects and Capex Delivery: keep the investment case alive

Once capital is committed, the central question becomes whether the project remains on course to deliver its business case. Progress percentages alone cannot answer it.

Engineering maturity, procurement, construction sequencing, approvals and commissioning readiness must be considered together. Individually manageable deviations can combine into a material threat to first production and cash flow.

AI supported delivery intelligence can connect schedules, costs, risks and physical evidence, helping teams identify contradictions and emerging dependencies between formal review gates.

Management can then assess intervention options while choices remain available. A useful assurance process explains what changed, why it matters, who must act and when. Success appears in improved delivery confidence, controlled capital exposure and a credible route into operation.

Mining and Processing: manage the constraint governing saleable output

The economic performance of a mine depends on how extraction, material movement and processing work together. Improving one activity can consume capital without improving the whole.

If processing capacity governs saleable output, increasing mining volumes may simply build stockpiles and working capital. If feed variability constrains recovery, additional plant availability may deliver less benefit than expected.

Connecting mine plans, ore characteristics, plant conditions and production results helps teams investigate these relationships. AI can support the comparison of operating choices, while physical models and simulation help test their consequences.

The discipline is to find the constraint, optimise for it, collaborate around it, uplift it and start again. The measure is the resulting contribution to cash generation, with safety, quality and environmental obligations respected.

Operations and Maintenance: protect the flow of value

Maintenance creates value through its effect on the productive capability of the system. Equipment critical to the governing constraint deserves particular attention because its failure can interrupt the entire flow of output.

An integrated operating system connects procedures, equipment histories, sensor readings, work orders, spare parts and operating conditions. Consistent asset identities and failure classifications help teams interpret information across systems.

AI can support prioritisation and flag emerging patterns for investigation. Simulation can also help operators and maintainers rehearse commissioning, abnormal conditions and recovery from disruption.

For investors, the question is whether this changes reliability and economics: more dependable throughput, better recovery, fewer damaging interruptions and a sustainable balance between production demands and asset capability.

Tailings Dam Remediation: connect obligations with operating decisions

Tailings facilities connect engineering performance, environmental responsibility, operational continuity and long term liability. Their condition and management belong within the investment case.

Inspection reports, monitoring data, risk thresholds, drawings and terrain models can be brought into a shared context. AI can help identify inconsistent records, surface changes requiring attention and connect actions with accountable owners.

Qualified professionals must interpret the evidence and authorise decisions. Traceability matters: the organisation should be able to show what was observed, how it was assessed and what followed.

Where reprocessing or resource recovery is contemplated, the opportunity requires its own technical and economic evidence. Potential value must be considered alongside remediation obligations, additional capital and the consequences of disturbing existing facilities.

Decommissioning and Closure: design the legacy into the economics

Closure decisions begin long before production ends. Land disturbance, infrastructure choices, water management and waste handling can create obligations that persist beyond an investor’s ownership period.

Connecting closure plans with operating and capital decisions helps reveal those consequences earlier. Progressive rehabilitation can be evaluated alongside production needs, while evolving assumptions remain visible in forecasts and decision records.

AI can support the organisation of obligations, evidence and dependencies across the asset’s life. Credible cost estimates and technical judgments remain essential.

For investors, better closure visibility informs valuation, capital planning and exit readiness. A future buyer needs confidence that liabilities are understood, supported by evidence and reflected in the economics.

Integrated Knowledge and Reasoning: connect evidence with action

Supporting every stage is the ability to reason across verbal, numeric, logical and spatial information. Reports explain intent; models quantify consequences; rules establish conditions; drawings and three dimensional models reveal physical relationships.

These sources need shared meaning, or semantics, and explicit relationships, or ontology, within the organisation and across customers and service providers. Otherwise, apparently connected systems can continue to describe different realities.

For example, “ready for commissioning” should connect to agreed requirements for construction completion, inspection, training and operational acceptance.

AI agents can help trace dependencies, identify conflicting assumptions and prepare options. The operating system then connects decisions to owners, scheduled work and completion evidence. Learning from the result updates the next decision.

“Enterprise value is the product. Capabilities are the machinery.”


What’s next?

Begin with one material value problem. Establish the economic baseline and current trajectory. Identify the governing constraint, material uncertainties and credible intervention options. Agree accountable owners, decision gates and a practical action pathway.

Measure the result through time to cash, throughput, recovery, capital exposure, operating cost and liability. Translate changes into the investment model, including implementation costs and avoiding double counting.

An AI enabled Mining and Metals Operating System earns its place when it helps change the asset’s economic trajectory. For investors, the opportunity is a repeatable capability for converting mineral potential into realised value.

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  • MedTech

Validating medical device concepts before major investment

David Hodes

Concept validation

A concept can look convincing in a presentation and still make an important task harder. A patient may misunderstand an indicator. A clinician may need information the design does not provide. A promising workflow may depend on support unavailable in the intended setting.

These problems become more expensive when the organization discovers them after committing to architecture, tooling or a launch plan.

We must ask how effectively concepts are validated before significant resources are committed. Patient Centered Design treats this as a learning discipline: turn ideas into testable solutions rapidly using low fidelity prototyping, put them in front of relevant users and gather evidence about whether they improve the outcomes that matter.

“A convincing presentation shows what the team hopes will happen. A useful test reveals what people actually do.”

Begin with a question that can change the decision

A prototype without a learning objective can generate interesting comments while leaving the key decision unresolved. Start by identifying what must be true for the concept to succeed.

Does the patient intuitively understand the required action without explanation? Can the professional recognize when the result is ready to use? Does the proposed approach fit the work surrounding the task? Will people take meaningful steps toward adoption?

State the assumption and the evidence needed to assess it. Agree what would support proceeding, what would require revision and what could make the concept unviable. Gather quantitative data along with qualitative verbal feedback.

Prioritize questions with substantial consequences for the investment. An attractive enclosure deserves less attention than an unresolved issue that could prevent safe or practical use of the whole solution.

Choose the simplest useful representation

A picture is worth a thousand words. A simple user experience prototype is worth a thousand pictures. Choose artifacts that maximize learning with the least effort. The appropriate artifact depends on what the team needs to discover.

A sketch may help users explain how they interpret a proposed interaction. A physical mock-up may expose handling difficulties. A simulated interface can support a sequence of tasks. A more complete prototype may be necessary to examine timing, feedback or combined interactions.

Build enough realism to test the assumption accurately. Excessive detail can consume resources without improving the evidence, while insufficient fidelity can conceal the issue being investigated.

Make limitations clear to participants and observers. A manually simulated function may help test an experience, but it does not establish that the technology can deliver that function reliably.

Recruit people who represent the intended use

Patients and healthcare professionals can differ in experience, confidence, physical ability, responsibilities, and access to support. Those differences influence whether the concept helps them complete the job.

Define the participants and contexts relevant to the test. Include people whose circumstances could expose difficulties the development team has overlooked.

A familiar expert may work around a confusing interface that challenges a new user. A clinician from a highly supported center may assume resources unavailable elsewhere. Research needs to reveal these dependencies.

Match the study to its purpose. Exploratory sessions can identify problems and guide iteration. They do not automatically establish population-wide performance or replace the evidence required for later design validation.

Create an Experience Café around real tasks

An Experience Café gives participants a structured opportunity to encounter concepts and talk about their experience. Its value comes from the quality of the scenario, observation and follow-up questions.

Set up situations that reflect what the person is trying to accomplish. Let participants interact with the artifact rather than rely solely on a demonstration by its designer. Build rough and rapid.

Assign roles to facilitators and observers. Agree how comments, actions and difficulties will be captured. Keep the session focused on learning rather than defending the proposed solution. Hold a conversation around the prototype. “Can you show me how you would use this?” “Tell me what you are thinking here.”

Ask participants to explain what they believe is happening and what they would do next. Observe where the concept supports that understanding and where they hesitate, improvise or seek help.

Listen without teaching away the problem

A facilitator can unintentionally make a weak concept appear successful by explaining each step or supplying missing information.

Use neutral prompts and allow participants to reveal their interpretation. When assistance is necessary, record it along with the point at which the person became stuck.

Follow observations with questions about purpose and reasoning. What did the participant expect? Which information did they look for? Why did they choose that action?

Separate a preference from evidence about task performance. “I like this one” may reflect appearance or familiarity. Successful completion, appropriate interpretation and manageable effort provide a stronger basis for assessing whether the concept addresses the need.

“Every explanation the facilitator must supply is a question about what the design expects the user to know.”

Examine the complete experience

The product interaction belongs within a wider job. Test preparation, readiness, execution, monitoring and what follows, wherever these activities affect the concept’s value.

A device may work well once configured while setup introduces avoidable complexity. A result may be easy to view while the professional still needs to transfer it manually before acting.

Include relevant dependencies on caregivers, staff, information and other systems. Investigate whether the concept reduces burden for one participant by increasing it for another.

Use realistic scenarios appropriate to the development stage. Important exceptions and recovery steps deserve attention alongside routine success. An incomplete or interrupted task can reveal weaknesses that a carefully guided demonstration leaves hidden.

Make cognitive burden visible

Ease of use involves what a person must notice, understand, remember, decide and physically do. A tidy interface can still demand substantial mental effort.

Human performance depends on limited attention, working memory and feedback. Examine how the concept supports those processes during a task.

Does it make the relevant information perceptible? Can the user understand its meaning? Is the next action clear? Can they recognize whether that action succeeded?

Look for unnecessary steps, demands to remember information across screens and alerts that interrupt without helping a decision. The best change may simplify a sequence or improve feedback rather than add another feature. Confirm its effect through observation and appropriate measures.

Measure effort alongside task success

Choose measures that reflect the priority outcome and the study’s purpose. These may include completion time, errors, requests for help, repeated actions or failure to notice important information.

Subjective workload measures can complement observed performance. NASA Task Load Index can help structure participants’ assessment of workload, while PURE provides an expert assessment of the effort required to complete tasks. Satisfaction ratings on a Likert scale can be used to compare concepts directly with each other and a baseline solution.

Do not treat one measure as a complete account of usability. Faster completion may accompany misunderstanding. A participant may complete the task correctly while reporting effort that makes repeated use impractical.

Interpret results together and examine the conditions under which they occurred. Record the limitations so decision makers understand what the test has established.

Test demand separately from technical feasibility

Pretotyping examines whether people take meaningful action toward using or adopting an idea before the full solution exists. It addresses a different question from whether a working product can be engineered.

A clearly described concept, service simulation or expression-of-interest process may provide evidence about engagement. The strength of that evidence depends on the action required and the conditions surrounding it.

A click demonstrates less commitment than a substantive implementation conversation. Neither establishes clinical efficacy or successful device use.

For medical concepts, keep representations accurate and make the test status clear. Interpret behavioral evidence alongside clinical appropriateness, access requirements and the responsibilities of the people making adoption decisions. Interest alone cannot establish that the solution should proceed unchanged, particularly when workflows in the clinical setting are involved.

Refine the value proposition with evidence

A value proposition explains which customer the concept serves, the job it supports and the difficulties it intends to reduce. It should connect directly with the outcomes identified through research.

Compare that proposition with the evidence from concept tests. Did participants experience the intended benefit? Did another difficulty become more important? Did the concept require assumptions that the intended setting cannot support? Did the concept do something better than a competitor’s current solution?

Capture both positive and negative findings. Use them to revise the concept, the proposition or the team’s understanding of the need.

Then test the important changes. Iteration should answer a question left open by the previous round. Repeating sessions without changing the artifact or research objective can accumulate comments while leaving uncertainty untouched.

Keep early findings within their proper limits

Early concept validation supports decisions about direction and investment. It does not establish all the evidence needed for a finished medical device.

Technical performance, reliability, clinical benefit and intended-use safety require appropriate subsequent work. A convincing simulated experience may depend on functions the team has not yet demonstrated.

Make these boundaries visible in the decision record. State who participated, what was tested, the conditions, findings and unresolved issues. Explain how those findings affect the next commitment.

Overall, having a “winning concept” in hand, backed by user Experience Café data along with user needs in the form of outcome statements formally structured with a direction of improvement and unit of measure, sets a development team up for success. The outcome statement user needs provide a solid foundation for the design history file.

Rapid prototype experience testing gives the team answers to key decisions and sets a target to pursue early on. This results in faster development cycles, more robust regulatory submissions, and better returns on investment spending.

A Value Management Office can connect this learning with resources and stage decisions. Testing should help the organization commit at a pace justified by evidence and concentrate effort on the uncertainties that govern progress.

“Early validation creates value when it changes the concept or the commitment before an unresolved assumption becomes expensive.”


What comes next

Examine one proposed investment. Which assumption could defeat the concept, and what is the least costly credible way to test it?

Prepare an appropriate artifact, involve representative users and observe meaningful tasks. Review the evidence, revise the concept and record the next learning decision. This gives Patient Centered Design a practical route toward solutions people can successfully use and organizations can responsibly develop.

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